Market is the greatest teacher...provided we are willing to learn...!!
O Ashuji...
Recent Blogs were stressing quite heavily on coming big move in equities (Nifty and Global) in July/August and we indeed had big move in the market. Nifty fell 4%+ (16 August, 2013), making it as biggest fall since July 2009. Bigger moves have come, VIX has expanded and I believe this is just start of bigger moves since we have had historic compression of volatility (June 2012-Jan 2013).
Blogs Stressing Bigger Moves and expansion of VIX - Best played through options....
1) July or August 2013 - BIG Move in NIFTY...?? (Blog Dated 2nd July, 2013)
http://www.speculationanart.blogspot.in/2013/07/july-or-august-2013-big-move-in-nifty.html
2) August 2013....Setting up for BIG MOVE in Equity
Markets...!! (Blog Dated 23rd July, 2013)
http://www.speculationanart.blogspot.in/2013/07/august-2013setting-up-for-big-move-in.html
3) Is Nifty's Implied Volatility Under Pricing Actual
Volatility.....? (Blog Dated 4th July, 2013) Vix has moved from 18.5 to 23.7....
http://www.speculationanart.blogspot.in/2013/07/is-niftys-implied-volatility-under.html
Clustering of Volatility implies moves will be bigger Up & Down....Since moves will be bigger and compressed, trying find reasons for intellectual satisfaction will be futile....
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