O Ashuji
When it is....."This Time is Different"
1) Its "This Time is Different", if Barron's Cover page targets are met within months.
October 2012
February 2013
Now April 2013....
2) Its "This Time is Different"...When "new" bull market begins after four years of gain with markets rising 240%+...!!
3) Its "This Time is Different"...When historic low yield on "HIGH YIELD/JUNK BONDS" happens during worst growth environment (unlike during 2005-07 when world growth was booming)
4) Its "This Time is Different"...When only correlation that works with stock market is size of Central banks balance sheet
5) Its "This Time is Different"...When NYSE Margin Debt approaches all time highs with S&P at all time highs
6) Its "This Time is Different"...When deteriorating macro data is associated with all time S&P 500 highs....
7) Its "This Time is Different"...When Most Countries are running negative real interest rates and still requires more easing....
8) Its "This Time is Different"....When one of the Sentiment Indicator (AAII Survey) is at lows while S&P 500 is at all time highs !!!
9) Its "This Time is Different"....When Stock Market are at all time highs, 4 years into the "recovery" and "Economy" continues to require more and more easing.....
When Creating and/or Injecting more and more money to every problem, results in "confused" capital moving in and out of various asset class resulting in wild swings and lack of permanence in those swings. Gold Collapses when Huge Money Printing exercise is undertaken by Japan, Stock market rallies with significant deterioration in economic data points......Investors/Traders/Speculators/Politicians continued reliance on Central Bankers as panacea for everything is reminiscent of continued faith in AAA rated securities during 2003-2007 boom, irrespective of their underlying. Given the linearity of price move in stock markets, shows it will NOT HAVE NORMAL CORRECTION....but then it can always be "THIS TIME IS DIFFERENT"
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